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Regulating What We Do Not Understand

A chartered engineer argues against preemptive AI regulation based on speculative harms, advocating instead for evidence-driven oversight that rapidly responds to demonstrated problems through technical capacity and practical observation.

"I believe that we should beware of regulating for speculative harms, and instead ready ourselves to react rapidly – and in ways that are technically informed and proportionate – to evidence of harm."

profserious.substack.com →

Connections

Related to

The Plunging Price of Thought The plunging price of thought creates the economic conditions that make AI regulation debates urgent - rapidly falling costs accelerate deployment and make the question of preemptive vs. reactive oversight practically consequential
AI in Science AI in Science raises similar governance questions about where AI oversight is warranted - both pieces grapple with how society should manage AI capability expansion in high-stakes domains

Supports

AI-pilling our company: lessons learned Lessons learned from AI adoption inside a company provide the kind of empirical, evidence-based perspective on actual AI problems that the regulation article argues should drive policy rather than speculative harm scenarios
Vibe Coding's Evolution Into Mainstream Development Vibe coding's evolution into mainstream development illustrates how AI capabilities develop organically through demonstrated use rather than planned deployment, supporting the article's argument that regulation should track actual observed patterns

Challenges

Formal Methods for Controlling AI Agents Formal methods for controlling AI agents represents the kind of preemptive technical constraint the article critiques - the article argues oversight should respond to demonstrated harms rather than impose speculative controls upfront

Type:	link
First published:	Monday, 5 October 2026 at 15:54 UTC
Location:	https://profserious.substack.com/p/regulating-what-we-do-not-understand
URL:	https://mattwood.fyi/i/c45e74dc

I'm Matt Wood, and this is For Your Information. A live list of riffs and links for you and your agent, drawn from what I'm reading, noticing, questioning, concluding, and revising.

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